The Tracking
Altman did not guess which founder qualities matter. He tracked them.
Over years of YC batches, he rated founders on different dimensions and correlated with outcomes.
The results contradicted what most people assume.
Determination Wins
Intelligence helps. But determined founders with average intelligence beat smart founders who quit.
The ability to keep going when everything says stop. That is the number one predictor.
Altman has seen this pattern hundreds of times.
Determination matters more than any other quality.
Clear Articulation
The second signal: can you clearly articulate what you are building and why?
Founders who stumble over their own vision rarely build something clear enough for others to use.
If you cannot explain it simply, you do not understand it deeply enough.